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Cowboys at Bills: A fast facts and stats game preview for Week 15

Sunday should be fun.

NFL: Super Bowl LVII-Super Bowl Experience Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Cowboys going on the road, to an open-air stadium, with a dicey weather report on tap has caused much anxiety in the fan base. Everyone who follows the Cowboys are aware of how good they are at home. They've won 15 straight games there, including all seven at AT&T Stadium this season. And the scoring output is ridiculous. They average just under 40 points per game at home, never scoring fewer than 30 points in a home game.

On the road, they haven’t had the same dominance. They have a 3-3 record on the road, and they average just under 24 points. They’ve had a blowout win against the Giants, but got blown out by the 49ers. So we’re just not sure which team we’ll get on Sunday.

DraftKings Sportsbook has the Cowboys as two-point underdogs versus the Bills. That’s not as bad as it sounds since the home team usually gets around three points. so that really makes it more of a pick ‘em. Still, the Cowboys have been favored a lot this season, and by large numbers, so this is a difference this week. Part of that is that the Bills have the talent to be a great team, they are just very inconsistent.

Let’s dive into some facts and figures.

The Cowboys and Bills have played 13 times in NFL history, 11 regular-season games and two playoff games. The Cowboys lead the series 6-5 in the regular-season, and have two Super Bowl wins over the Bills (XXVII, XXVIII). The Bills won the last game between the two by a score of 26-15 in 2019.

The Cowboys offense has played a major role in the team's fortunes this year as noted by the scoring averages mentioned above. They also have a knack for getting out ahead of teams early on. They average 19.8 points in the first half of games in 2023, that leads the NFL. That number is second only to the 2007 New England Patriots who averaged 20.8.

Dallas leads the NFL in scoring at 32.4 points per game. One good way to do that is to not turn over the ball. The team is tied for fewest turnovers this year with 11, and that is also tied for the fewest through 13 games in franchise history (1998).

Another part of scoring all those points is Brandon Aubrey. The Cowboys rookie kicker is having a dream season right now. We all know about his 30 for 30 start on field goals and setting the NFL record. But he also set another record. His 60-yard field goal in the first quarter versus the Philadelphia Eagles was the first time ever in NFL history that a 60+ yard field goal was made in the first quarter,

He leads the NFL with 129 kicking points. He needs nine more points to pass Brett Maher for most kicking points in a Cowboys season. That mark was set last year by Maher. When he’s not scoring, he’s doing things like kicking for 84 touchbacks which is a Cowboys record. 88 touchbacks is the NFL record, which he’ll get soon enough.

The biggest piece in all those points? Dak Prescott. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns in seven straight games and will hold the franchise record for doing that in consecutive games with two or more passing TDs in Buffalo.

Dak is leader in the NFL for passer rating against man coverage at 131.2 (NextGenStats). His 107.5 passer rating this year is a career high, and only trails Tony Romo’s 113.2 in 2014 in Cowboys’ history.

Fast stats:

  • Since Dan Quinn’s arrival in 2021, the Cowboys defense has the most takeaways at 88, and the most interceptions at 55, which leads the NFL.
  • Micah Parsons needs 1.5 sacks more this season to beat his previous career high of 13.5 (2022).
  • Jake Ferguson has over 50 catches and 500 yards. He joins Jason Witten (15 times), Dalton Schultz and Jay Novacek (three times each) and Doug Cobie (twice) as the only Cowboys tight ends to accomplish that feat.
  • CeeDee Lamb needs another receiving touchdown this week to make it six straight games with one. The last Cowboys player to do that was Terrell Owens in 2007.
  • The Cowboys have a +10 turnover differential which is good for second in the league.
  • Stephon Gilmore is going home, sort of. He spent his first five season in the NFL with the Bills where he collected 14 interceptions.

Team comparison stats:

Scoring Avg. (NFL rank) Dallas - 32.4 (1) Buffalo - 26.8 (5)

Opp. Scoring Avg. (NFL rank) Dallas - 17.9 (4) Buffalo - 18.8 (6)

Total Off. (NFL rank) Dallas - 381.5 (4) Buffalo - 378.9 (5)

Rushing Off. (NFL rank) Dallas - 118.6 (11) Buffalo - 122.0 (10)

Passing Off. (NFL rank) Dallas - 262.8 (2) Buffalo - 256.9 (5)

Total Def. (NFL rank) Dallas - 289.9 (3) Buffalo - 321.9 (14)

Rushing Def. (NFL rank) Dallas - 106.0 (13) Buffalo - 114.0 (19)

Passing Def. (NFL rank) Dallas - 183.9 (5) Buffalo - 207.9 (11)

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