The Dallas Cowboys (10-5) return home this week as they welcome the NFC North champion Detroit Lions (11-4) to AT&T Stadium. This matchup figures to be a good one that will feature plenty of offensive firepower. Before the two teams square off, here are three bold predictions for the game.
1) Dak Prescott throws four touchdown passes in a game for the fourth time this season
If there’s one thing we know about Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense, they love to play at home. As a team, Dallas is 7-0 at home, averaging nearly 40 points per game. When playing at AT&T Stadium, Prescott has been the NFL’s best quarterback. The 30-year-old has completed 71% of his pass attempts and thrown 20 touchdown passes to just two interceptions when playing in front of the home crowd.
Back at home, Dallas’ offense gets a favorable matchup this week as they face a Lions’ defense that is vulnerable in their secondary. Since Week 10, Detroit’s defense is last in the league in Defensive Dropback EPA (0.249), and 30th in Dropback SR (51.1%).
Dallas’ offense has been struggling to find a rhythm the past two weeks, but they will find it again on Saturday night. Prescott throws four touchdown passes for the fourth time this season as the Cowboys put on an offensive clinic.
2) Detroit’s offense leans on their ground game, recording over 165 team rushing yards
Dallas’ defense will be tested again this week as they try to slow down the Lions’ rushing attack. Detroit has one of the best running back duos in the NFL in veteran David Montgomery and rookie Jahmyr Gibbs. The duo has combined for 1,782 yards and 20 rushing touchdowns while averaging 5.2 Y/A between the two. The Lions have run the ball for 140 or more rushing yards in a game nine times this season and have the fourth-best Offensive Rush EPA (0.004) in the league this season.
Worried about blocking Dallas’ defensive front, we’ll see the Lions come into this game with a similar gameplan as the Bills two weeks ago. Montgomery wears Dallas’ defense down and it leads to Gibbs recording multiple 15+ yard runs. Detroit’s offense has continued success on the ground, recording over 165 rushing yards as a team.
3) Cowboys and Lions combining to score over 65 total points
The current O/U total for this game is set at 52, via DraftKings Sportsbook. That’s a very high total for an NFL game, but this one is still going to go well over.
Both the Cowboys and Lions have favorable matchups on offense against the defensive units they are facing. The Lions will be able to run the ball and create some big plays against Dallas’ defense and the Cowboys will be able to move the ball through the air against the Lions’ defense. This creates plenty of points and we see a game very similar to Dallas’ matchup with Seattle back in Week 13. The Cowboys get the last laugh, winning 37-30 in a Saturday night thriller.